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[原创] 重建美俄关系---新三一與韓國無核

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发表于 2017-4-20 08:19:55 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
化 (English Original attached, google trans)

朝鮮半岛会有新的突破嗎?幾個月來,我想了很多。我認為会有突破,基於美國 - 俄羅斯--中國的新三位一體---作為力量的軸心

基於歷史重力与三位一體的自然穩定傾向,我得出了這一結論。

歷史上,全球競爭主导权以前所未有的二次世界大戰爆發結结局

我們意識到,人類的全球政治 - 經濟-社会秩序是由最強大的贏家 - 承建商美國建立的,它是第一。

那時候還有四大强权。英格蘭很大然而,即使在那個時候,英國意識到中國的崛起是不可避免的。那三大强权早晚是現實了。

一边倒向于俄羅斯的中國打破了势力的平衡,導致蘇聯斯大林用代理人的朝鮮戰爭來挑戰美國的統治地位。他最後為韓國戰爭付出了生命,韓國的戰爭由於斯大林的被暗殺而結束!多麼悲哀!

在70年代,中國人選擇倒向於美國,再次打破平衡,最終導致了蘇聯90年代初的崩潰。

到1989年,天安門廣場事件显露,中國人已再次倾向俄羅斯。
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這引發了一個四分之一世紀的醜惡的後冷戰。

中國人現在被美國人理解為與俄羅斯形成戰術聯盟,以抵制美國在太平洋的壓力。(返回亞太)俄羅斯则需要中國人在敘利亞和烏克蘭佔上風。

美國過去至少有一次與俄羅斯重新建立關係。他們需要俄羅斯操纵石油和物料價來遏制中國。然后美國又為了經濟上製裁俄羅斯放弃了操纵油价。美國人过着不可能的生活。韓國問題來自第二次世界大戰。

聯合國第一次警察行動只有一半成功。俄方不得不棄權。他們並沒有忘記,他們的存在是美國慷慨和權力的結果。他們選擇与美国交易和报答美國。

中共的掌权是蘇聯祝福的直接後果。另一方面,中國對日本的勝利是美國對中國的軍事援助的直接後果。

毛主席因杜魯門總統一再發表演講公開邀請加入了朝鮮戰爭。他的錯誤是拒絕英國的調解。唯一的黃金機會就此悲劇性地丧失。

聯合國是建立在大國協商一致原則的基礎上的,特別是大四,大五, 或三大,无论全球權力核心的如何變遷。有人吹嘘G2。看起來,G2必須由包括俄羅斯在內的三大强权结构補充。

G2就婚姻本身不是一個穩定的結構。競爭或爭奪霸主地位可能失控。三腿桌是一個穩定的結構,而雙腿桌子可能不穩定。當存在第三個同等级軍事强国時,G2之間的鬥爭將受到製約,因為兩者都不得不擔心他們的鬥爭可以被第三强国利用。如果所有三大國意識到與其他强国鬥爭可能被剩下的第三大强国所利用,那麼三者都会將他們的鬥爭约束,導致三位一體的穩定。

克林頓同時进攻俄中兩國,導致三方不穩定的關係。正因為如此,她才输掉了她的总统選舉。克林頓王朝對俄羅斯和中國的同時进犯導致了他們的戰術聯盟。

特朗普總統現在想重新設定俄羅斯與美國的關係。他在朝鮮這個問題上有一個很好的機會。

韓國是第二次世界大戰的遗留問題。韓國戰爭本身就是聯合國首例警察行動的一個壞例子:沒有共識。俄羅斯沒有出席,四大强权之一的中國在聯合國沒有適當代表。

現在三國有機會改正這個錯誤,重創造新的聯合國案例:依靠三巨頭或聯合國安理會的統一的經濟激勵, 通過和平談判勸說朝鮮放棄核武。

所有三大大國最終都將獲得巨大的利益。 高速鐵路可以連接所有六方。

我想幫助美國解決韓國危機的俄羅斯可能想在敘利亞和烏克蘭而獲得回報。

敘利亞,烏克蘭曾經是俄羅斯的势力範圍。朝鮮在短時間內受到俄羅斯的影響。由於所有這些原因,美國的让步可能有助於美國長遠利益

韓國僵局的結束會导致東亞的進一步繁榮,刺激全球經濟。從日本到韓國的隧道和快速鐵路穿越白令海峽會改變全球的經濟
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美國在何種程度上可以減少在遠東的軍事存在,從而減少軍費呢?這是美國山姆大叔的選擇。我會想像多国裁军,全球經濟受益。

五月份的韓國選舉將迎來一個新的時代。我的猜測是,陽光政策會恢復,5.24的措施就要結束了。生活必須繼續前進。

如果美國可以在敘利亞和烏克蘭給予俄羅斯祝福,韓國的問題可以及時解決。新的三位一體和全球和平正是羅斯福總統所設想的。讓我們一起工作。我們需要相互信任。有了這個結果,所有三位總統都可以向自己的國內觀眾交代。這是贏, 三贏。

Reset with Russia --- the New Trinity & Korean Denuclearize
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Will there be new breakthrough on North Korea? I did my long thinking over the months. I think there is one which is based upon the new Trinity of U.S. -- Russia--- China as Axis of Powers
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I reached that conclusion based upon both the historic gravity and natural propensity of a stable trinity.
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Historically, the global competition for dominance ended with the unprecedented World War Two with nuclear explosion.
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All of us realized that human's global political-social-economic order was established with the mightiest winner-underwriter U.S. as it's number one.
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At that time, there were the big four. England was big. Yet, even at that time, England realized that the rise of China was inevitable. The big three was already a reality by then.
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Chinese leaning towards one side of Russia tipped the balance of power, leading to Soviet Stalin challenging the U.S. dominance with a proxy Korean war. He ended up paying his life for that Korean war and the Korean war ended as a result of his assassination! What a bummer!
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Chinese chose to lean towards another side of U.S. tipping the balance again in 70's which ultimately lead to the collapse of Soviet in early 90's.
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By the time of 1989, Tiananmen Square event revealed that Chinese had already swung again towards the side of Russia.
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That ushered in an ugly post cold war of a quarter century.
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The Chinese now was understood by Americans as forming a tactical alliance with Russia in order to counter American's pressure in the Pacific ocean.(Pivot to Asia) Russian needed Chinese to prevail in both Syria and Ukraine.
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U.S. reset relationship with Russia at least one time in the past. They needed Russia to contain China through oil and material price fixing. Then U.S. gave that up to sanction Russia economically for its transgression. Life is impossible for the Americans to live. Korea problem was from World war two.
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United Nation's very first police action was only half successful. Russia was compelled to abstain. They did not forget that their very existence was the outcome of the American largesse and power. They chose to deal and give something in return from time to time back to U.S.
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The Chinese commies was the direct result of Soviet blessing. On the other hand, China's victory over Japan is the direct result of American military aid to China.
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Mao joined the Korean war when President Truman openly invited him through repeated public speech. The mistake was he rejected British mediation. The only golden opportunity was tragically lost.
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The United Nation was founded upon the principle of consensus of big powers, especially the big four, or big five or big three however the vicissitude of the core of the global powers. Some one preached G2. It looks like G2 has to be complemented by the big three trinity including Russia.
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G2 itself as a marriage isn't a stable structure by itself. Competition or vying for dominance could spin out of control. A three legs table is a stable structure while a two leg table could be unstable. When there exists a third comparable military power, the struggle among the G2 would be constrained because both would have to worry that
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